Cabinet Maker takes a look at what the daily polls suggest as the countdown continues in the highly anticipated EU Referendum vote on 23 June.

 

Wednesday 22 June 2016 (changes highlighted *)

What the polls say

Poll

Remain %

Leave %

Undecided %

YouGov

42

44

9

Ipsos MORI

43

49

8

Opinium

44

44

12

BMG Research

44

45

12

TNS UK

40

47

13

Survation

45

44

11

ComRes

46

45

9

ORB*

53

47

2

ICM

43

48

9

Mean Verdict:

44.4%

45.8%

9.4%

 

What the bookies say

Bookmaker

Remain Odds

Leave Odds

Ladbrokes*

1/4

3

Bet365

1/4

3

William Hill

2/9

3

Sky Bet

1/4

3

Paddy Power

1/4

3

Coral

1/4

3

Bet Fred

1/4

3

Verdict:

Favourite

 

 

Roundup: Day Three (as figures suggest at time of publication)

Day Two suggested: Polls – Remain 44%, Leave 45.6%, Undecided 10.4%. The bookies maintained a clear favourite of a Remain vote.

Day Three suggests that although a slight increase by +0.2% points to 45.8% for Leave, Remain saw the biggest shift, up by +0.4% - back to the same rate at the close of last week. The ORB poll was the only change pushing its Remain votes past 50%, closing the gap from a 1.8% difference to 1.6% going into tomorrows vote. Meanwhile, the bookies continued to favour Remain with practically all bookmakers sharing the same odds.

The polls remain too tight to call as voting opens at 7am tomorrow morning, and will stay open until 10pm. The results are expected to be announced some time Friday 24 June.