Cabinet Maker takes a look at what the daily polls suggest as the countdown continues in the highly anticipated EU Referendum vote on 23 June.

 

Tuesday 21 June 2016 (changes highlighted with *) 

What the polls say

Poll

Remain %

Leave %

Undecided %

YouGov*

42

44

13

Ipsos MORI

43

49

8

Opinium

44

44

12

BMG Research

44

45

12

TNS UK*

40

47

13

Survation*

45

44

11

ComRes

46

45

9

ORB

49

45

6

ICM

43

48

9

Mean Verdict:

44%

45.6%

10.4%

 

What the bookies say

Bookmaker

Remain Odds

Leave Odds

Ladbrokes*

2/9

10/3

Bet365

1/4

3

William Hill

2/9

3

Sky Bet

1/4

3

Paddy Power

1/4

3

Coral

2/9

3

Bet Fred

1/4

3

Verdict:

Favourite

 

 

Roundup: Day Two (as figures suggest at time of publication)

Day One suggested: Polls – Remain 44%, Leave 44.6%, Undecided 11.4%. The bookies maintained a clear favourite of a Remain vote.

Day Two suggests a swing into the favour of a Leave vote by +1%, with the figure appearing to sway from the Undecided vote as that fell by 1%. The only changes (highlighted in red) indicated that all three polls, YouGov, TNS and Survation advanced its Leave vote, whilst only TNS improved its Remain vote as the Undecided votes began to pick a stance. The majority of the polls remained unchanged. Meanwhile, the bookies once again all favour a Remain vote, with only one, Ladbrokes, updating its odds generating a better profit return over rivals if a Leave bet was placed.

Although the polls remain tight, the +1% hike in a Leave vote swings the momentum in favour of Out with Thursday fast approaching.